Free Capitalist Network - Community Archive
Mises Community Archive
An online community for fans of Austrian economics and libertarianism, featuring forums, user blogs, and more.

Ron Paul Wins Two Tallies in Iowa Straw Polls - 10/31

rated by 0 users
This post has 1 Reply | 2 Followers

Top 50 Contributor
Posts 2,028
Points 51,580
limitgov Posted: Mon, Oct 31 2011 3:09 PM

http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2011/10/29/ron-paul-wins-both-tallies-at-gop-pres-straw-poll-in-iowa/

 

He didn't just beat em, he whipped em with 82%.

How important was the Iowa straw poll?

 

  • | Post Points: 20
Top 10 Contributor
Male
Posts 4,987
Points 89,490
Wheylous replied on Mon, Oct 31 2011 6:36 PM

The results of straw polls are obviously conditionally dependent. Watch:

Effect( Win | Winner = Ron Paul) = Nothing

Effect( Win | Winner = Someone else (E.g. Cain) ) = Holy crap he shot up 15%

The notation "something | something else" means "something given something else."

Hence, and judging by history, it likely means nothing.

However, the polling companies do put Ron in third right now.

  • | Post Points: 5
Page 1 of 1 (2 items) | RSS