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Empirical rebuttal of EMH

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Wheylous Posted: Wed, Jul 11 2012 12:10 AM

John James is almost always the guy to start the low-content threads. He consistently beats the market. Efficient Market Hypothesis disproved.

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ThatOldGuy replied on Wed, Jul 11 2012 12:35 AM

He consistently beats the market.

Challenge.

If I had a cake and ate it, it can be concluded that I do not have it anymore. HHH

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John James replied on Wed, Jul 11 2012 12:55 AM

Welcome back, Whey Whey.

 

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Wheylous replied on Wed, Jul 11 2012 1:37 AM

I was away for 10 days. Now I'm back WACKIER than ever!

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I swear you two have something going on.

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Well he did introduce me to the Miss Universe contestant I just bedded last week.  So I guess you might say there's a unique bond there.

 

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Clayton replied on Wed, Jul 11 2012 2:39 AM

Damn. Where do you even meet a Miss Universe contestant?

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What can I say, kid gets around smiley

 

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Clayton replied on Wed, Jul 11 2012 3:01 AM

@Wheylous: Let's meet... drinks on me!

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Wheylous replied on Wed, Jul 11 2012 3:56 AM

I met Miss Kenya once. I was shoveling random people's snow to help them out without them knowing and I got invited in for hot chocolate with Miss Kenya. Pretty cool :D

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Wheylous replied on Wed, Jul 11 2012 3:58 AM

Clayton - If you swing by the DC area any time soon, let me know :P I don't think I can come out to the Northwest anytime soon.

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Autolykos replied on Wed, Jul 11 2012 6:21 AM

Pics or it didn't happen.

The keyboard is mightier than the gun.

Non parit potestas ipsius auctoritatem.

Voluntaryism Forum

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Rcder replied on Wed, Jul 11 2012 8:20 PM

My knowledge of the efficient market hypothesis is sketchy, but I thought that the EMH states that the actions of each individual participant in a market will, on average, be equal to the "true value" of the asset they're bidding for (I'm assuming that true value is a synonym for, say, a factor's DMVP in final equilibrium).  In this case John James's actions (making the threads) would be an outlier and the actions of the other individuals (not making the threads) on the Mises forums would average together with his and would be equal to the true value of the low-content threads.  Take this with a grain of salt; EMH is certainly not something I profess any expertise on.

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Rcder replied on Wed, Jul 11 2012 8:20 PM

Also, I agree with Autolykos.  Pics are needed.

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Rcder:
My knowledge of the efficient market hypothesis is sketchy, but I thought that the EMH states that the actions of each individual participant in a market will, on average, be equal to the "true value" of the asset they're bidding for

Efficient Markets Hypothesis (EMH) links

 

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Clayton replied on Wed, Jul 11 2012 9:18 PM

Wheylous is an unimpeachable source. If he says he was shoveling snow in the middle of freakin' winter for no good goddamn reason then, by god, he was. And Miss Kenya gave him hot chocolate (or was she the hot chocolate?) I'm confused now.

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