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Fractional reserve banking question

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Juan replied on Wed, Aug 20 2008 10:55 AM
slider:
As far as arguments against socialism I completely agree that a free market is better but in the far future that will not likely be the case as automation obsoletes jobs some form of socialism seems inevitable.
That kind of 'argument' sounds familiar...

February 17 - 1600 - Giordano Bruno is burnt alive by the catholic church.
Aquinas : "much more reason is there for heretics, as soon as they are convicted of heresy, to be not only excommunicated but even put to death."

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Jon Irenicus:
I can't be bothered to read huge posts any more.

I find more and more, the longer the post, the less likely it has something organized and well considered to share.  I just skim and pick out bits and pieces to respond to.  Anyone looking to bludgeon me with the volume of their opinion, will get mostly ignored and mocked.

 

"When you're young you worry about people stealing your ideas, when you're old you worry that they won't." - David Friedman
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slider123456:
Gold has very little inherint value and gains most of  its value not from itself but from the goods and services the society provides without these goods it value would be considerably less.

It's statements like this that will eventually drive me to seppuku.

"When you're young you worry about people stealing your ideas, when you're old you worry that they won't." - David Friedman
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 I am just trying to understand our monetary system and I am completely open to the fact that I may be wrong seems like very few other people are though. I wrote how I understand it and am not trying "to bludgeon " anyone just trying to get a better understanding. Instead of original thoughts though I get pointed to links of some important "economists" with a gradual degredation into insults. Wow

 

 A)If the banks do spend the money into the economy then I am completely wrong though my understanding as of now is that is not the case.

 

B)My other argument is that if some 3rd world villagers can fulfill the services of a bank with pen and paper how much is the banking system as it is today really worth?

 

 The whole gold argument is really a matter of perspective and does not really matter to me that much. Arguing different perspectives is a part of life and if everyone had the same perspective life would be pretty boring.

 

 As to whether or not a type of socialism is necessary in the future it might not be but it seems better to keep the option open than shutting it down without rational thought. It is completely possible that there are solutions in the framework of capitilism I personally have no idea what soloutions entrepreneurs  might come up with.

I have seen no arguments against the first 2 of these understandings but would certainly appreciate it.

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Ok, if you're sincere, I wil try to address one point at a time.

slider123456:
A)If the banks do spend the money into the economy then I am completely wrong though my understanding as of now is that is not the case.

The banks loan the money into the economy.

slider123456:
B)My other argument is that if some 3rd world villagers can fulfill the services of a bank with pen and paper how much is the banking system as it is today really worth?

This goes back to an earlier issue with your posts.  You do not have a good understanding of what money is.  I think if you had a better understanding, it would automatically refute your other positions.  The gold argument is not a matter of perspective.

Gold is/was money because it is scarce.  Because it cannot be counterfeited.  Because it is fungible, malleable and durable.

Paper is only money by fiat, or decree.  It can only exist as a result of legal tender laws.  Gold has proven in many cultures to exist as a store of weath and a means of exchange, completely independent of any legislation.  The differences are enormous, documented and verifiable!  It is not a matter of perspective!

Expansion of the monetary supply, or inflation is very easy with paper, very difficult with metals or tangible goods.  Having a stable money supply, vs. an unstable or highly inflationary supply, is not a matter of perspective.  It goes to the very fundamentals of the economic system.

Which was my point.  You keep talking about interest, without understanding that the system is fundamentally flawed.  It's like trying to treat symptoms and not the disease.  Pointless.

Sorry if I was rude, but I don't believe you wrote the Rothbard book I linked you to.  I think you probably searched it for the word "interest".  Unfortunately, I'm a quick reader and it took me a couple days to work through it, and a few subsequent reads to get a good grip on it.

 

 

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meambobbo replied on Wed, Aug 20 2008 3:38 PM

slider, i have tried to maintain a respectful attitude towards you, but if i have insulted you, i apologize.  we're all learning here - if you read back a little ways, i was schooled in this same thread.

that said, please avoid long responses.  people simply won't read them, and it will lead to general confusion.  where possible, post about a single idea.  i know how easy it is to end up turning a simple post into a huge essay when discussing this stuff.  resist!

ok, let's discuss some more...

a) federal reserve banks create money by monetizing debt, typically gov't securities.  commercial banks create money by lending out deposits up to their reserve limit.  in both cases, banks do not simply buy anything of real value with new money.  in the case of the gov't securities' interest earned, the federal reserve banks are required to pay most to all of these earnings to the government.

When banks debase the value of money to issue new loans, they also debase the return value of outstanding loans.  Bankers advocated sound money, in opposition to the farmers who wanted paper money, when the issue was discussed during the creation of the constitution.  Depending upon the conditions, banks may seek to contract artificial credit.

Your argument has consistently held that the inability to otherwise pay debts with interest has fueled money supply expansion.  Well, look at what happens in a bust.  Credit contracts, and yes, many people can't pay their debts.  Yet, allowing credit to contract and bad debts to be liquidated quickly remedies the problem and gets the economy back on track.  Further expanding the money supply is not a remedy.  Look at Japan in the 90's.  Also, expanding the money supply did not prevent the Great Depression, nor did it alleviate it.

Often, this problem is misunderstood.  People want the booms that artificial credit spurs, but deny that busts must follow.  They have invented a number of magical means to do this, such as suspending bank note redemption in specie, central banking, and fiat currency.  All fail.  A better solution is to avoid the problem altogether.  To do this, simply get the government out of banking and money, or outlaw fractional reserve banking.  The market polices against fractional reserve banking fairly well.  Over-leveraged banks can be brought to bankruptcy on the whim of competitors or a wave of market fear.  It is only when government protects or institutionalizes FRB that we can see economy-wide booms and busts.  The best example of this is the roaring 20's and the Great Depression.

Without government intervention in money, the market most likely picks a form of money whose supply cannot be easily manipulated by any central source.  If banks want to issue notes that are claims to that money, that's fine.  as before, the ones who choose to issue unbacked notes are the most likely to fail, barring gov't intervention.  While most people here advocate gold or silver, they most likely believe that individuals and private institutions should be free to choose what they define and accept as money.  Perhaps the market favors a different form of money?  We can't know for sure until true monetary competition is allowed.  Legal tender laws, mint prohibitions, currency prohibitions, sales and capital gains taxes all prevent this.

b) i don't think our banking and monetary system is worth very much, considering I believe it is almost due for a complete collapse.  that being said, I think being able to conduct non-local transactions and safekeep larger amounts of money that retain its value is a valuable service to society.  true banking seems to be more than simply balancing accounts - it is also a means of depository investing (for time, not demand deposits) and money warehousing.

As far as socialism and technology, let's consider a situation.  A new robotic factory design requires no humans to work in it, and it produces any good imaginable faster than older factories, using less raw materials and energy (even copies of itself).  Industry leaders invest in these factories, they replace the old ones, and many millions of factory workers are laid off.  Well, the laws of supply and demand still apply.  If most people are hopelessly unemployed, how do they afford the goods the factory produces?  If goods are still priced according to their old prices (which you might consider their "true value"), we produce FAR more goods than there are buyers and we have a surplus - billions of goods sitting in warehouses unable to be sold.  If we follow supply and demand to price, we find the price of anything is pushed to barely anything, as there is very little demand (as expressed in a supply of something else).  The capitalists who own the factories don't need to trade with the unemployed laborers.  They can get their factories to meet their material demands.  Thus, the market has a huge shift.  Human labor isn't required anymore, as a cheaper form of labor is abundant.  Yet human intelligence is still scarce.  Scientific research is scarce.  The capitalists would best serve themselves by creating capital for the laborers to use to develop their intelligent skills.  Intelligence will allow more efficient factories, sources of energy, etc.  Furthermore, there would be a huge art and entertainment industry, as factories can't write well-respected scripts, songs, or paintings.

If technology changes the economy in a manner that makes most everyone unfit to work, this same technology allows charitable efforts to effectively serve that many more people.  Why don't the now unemployed laborers seek to build their own super factory?  What if a charity got its hands on one?  It could simply make copies of it for every town, or even every individual.  The socialist doctrine relies on the argument that capital owners are competitive, greedy elitists who are most inclined to deprive others of possessions.  Yet capitalism's entire mantra is based on competing to most efficiently create that which society most desires.  If technology produces a situation where physical labor is of little value, then laborers must focus on intelligent labor, which should retain high value.  In fact, technology should vastly increase the value of all labor, as it can now be traded for far more real goods.  For example, if your neighbor is an intelligent laborer, he could easily afford 8 cars.  If you weed his garden, you can be paid with an automobile.  Your actual pay rate has increased.

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meambobbo replied on Wed, Aug 20 2008 3:39 PM

meambobbo:
that said, please avoid long responses.  people simply won't read them, and it will lead to general confusion.  where possible, post about a single idea.  i know how easy it is to end up turning a simple post into a huge essay when discussing this stuff.  resist!

also, break your own rules, and reply to your own posts.  that makes you look cool, LIKE ME

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meambobbo replied on Thu, Aug 21 2008 2:06 PM

Slider, check this out:

http://hiwaay.net/~becraft/FRS-myth.htm#hd25

also, read the section following that one.

Keep in mind, I disagree with the author on other points, so feel free to respond to his argument.

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slider123456:
A)If the banks do spend the money into the economy then I am completely wrong though my understanding as of now is that is not the case.


liberty student:
The banks loan the money into the economy.


 That is my understanding but if a bank lends 5 people call them A -E a $1000 at %5 interest they owe $5250 if the $250 interest gets lent to someone else F and the first 5 A-E earn it from F he (F) owes $262.50 still. The bank lends $262.50 to someone else G and F earns it from G then he G owes $275.62. This will go on forever increasing forever until someone defaults. If the bank spent the $250 into the economy after the 1st loan there would be less of a problem but in our economy I do not think the banks spend all of the interest into the economy that would be alot of money especially when mortgages are considered.

 I guess the other way of looking at it is if the bank lent 5 people $1000 who then owed $5250 the 4 of them could get the needed $50 each from the 5th person leaving 4 with $1050 and 1 with $800 who would end up defaulting. The problem with that though is even if they all made the exact same decisions someone would have to fail randomly.

At least with gold the gold could be acquired outside of the system so it would be possible to get the interest as long as all gold was not controlled by banks who lent it out.

slider123456:
B)My other argument is that if some 3rd world villagers can fulfill the services of a bank with pen and paper how much is the banking system as it is today really worth?


liberty student:
This goes back to an earlier issue with your posts.  You do not have a good understanding of what money is.  I think if you had a better understanding, it would automatically refute your other positions.  The gold argument is not a matter of perspective.


  The fact that fiat money is used does show that money can be engineered into a system. If fiat money was not abused there is no reason to believe it would be any less efficient than gold. Now the fact is that in the present it is being abused and the current rules serve to perpetuate that abuse but with the proper rules in place and a decentralization that might not be the case.

My understanding is that the only thing that makes something money is that it can be used to buy goods and most people accept it if that is the case then that is money to me. The fact that it can buy goods basically means it is backed by goods and services and if it wasn't it would be worthless.

liberty student:
Gold is/was money because it is scarce.  Because it cannot be counterfeited.  Because it is fungible, malleable and durable.


Paper is only money by fiat, or decree.  It can only exist as a result of legal tender laws.  Gold has proven in many cultures to exist as a store of weath and a means of exchange, completely independent of any legislation.  The differences are enormous, documented and verifiable!  It is not a matter of perspective![/quote]

 Looking at history it seems to me that gold was also given its value by decree. Not the decree of any single government but the decree of royalty who desired it for forms of sculpting and decorations. The average man, at the beginning of civilizatin would have no great need for gold being more worried about survival so the demand must have come from the powerful whose survival was secure. After a period of time it was accepted to pay taxes, again to royalty, which I am sure played a large role in its valuation in trade much like fiat money. The fact that it cannot be counterfeited is the main advantage it has over fiat money making inflation more difficult. It is not impossible though since so called fractional reserve banking (aka fraud) actually began with Goldsmiths writing out more tickets for gold than the gold in their vaults and then giving them out as loans. Just like today as long as the loans were paid and massive amounts of people did not withdraw their gold they were safe to perpetuate this fraud. As long as it is actual gold coin that would most likely not be a problem though. Then again most people do not want to lug around gold so most of it would end up at a bank with a ticket being issued. The same issue of fractional reserve gold banking could happen that now happens with fiat money. To me the problem does not really seem to be what is used as money as much as the laws which govern how it is used.

liberty student:
Expansion of the monetary supply, or inflation is very easy with paper, very difficult with metals or tangible goods.  Having a stable money supply, vs. an unstable or highly inflationary supply, is not a matter of perspective.  It goes to the very fundamentals of the economic system.


I understand that the oversupply of money in relation to the goods available is the problem but I do believe that if fiat money was properly controlled it could also work. If fiat money supply grew at the same rate as goods and services then there would be no inflation of prices on average.

liberty student:
Which was my point.  You keep talking about interest, without understanding that the system is fundamentally flawed.  It's like trying to treat symptoms and not the disease.  Pointless.

[quote user="liberty student"]Sorry if I was rude, but I don't believe you wrote the Rothbard book I linked you to.  I think you probably searched it for the word "interest".  Unfortunately, I'm a quick reader and it took me a couple days to work through it, and a few subsequent reads to get a good grip on it.



 I did read the book and understand that the telescoping of money through Fractional Reserve is the problem. If fractional reserves were abolished and inflation controlled the only way that interest would be feasible is if the interest was spent into the economy which would still mean an increase of money relative to goods since for every $200,000 house loan $10,000 interest per year would need to be spent or loaned into the economy for that loan to be paid back or the random failure scenario I mentioned above.

 I read for an hour or so a day for a few days and I understand what he is saying. I understand completely that the problem is that the money supply grows faster than goods and services which essentially lead to the money being worth less relative to the goods it is used to purchase. If as I keep saying interest serves to create that inflation then interest would end up being almost impossible (or would cause other obvious problems which would soon be realized) if inflation was no longer created so on the matter of inflation we basically agree and interest is really secondary. It could also easily be that in a fractional reserve banking situation where every dollar is loaned out as $10 that the amount of interest charged is considerably more. At current rates that would be an equivalent of %50 interest in a %100 reserve system. Since $1 is lent out 10 times at %5 interest that is basically $0.50 interest on the $1 equaling %50. That does contribute to probelems with interest.

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Here is a very interesting book on money that most people don't know about, that covers the topic of lending money into circulation:

http://www.inspiredconstitution.org/popp_bonafide/chapter_5.html

Very fascinating how he covers the changing wording on the US dollar over it's revisions since the Fed was created.

Also, have you read any of E. C. Riegel?  http://www.inspiredconstitution.org/riegel_naf/index.html

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meambobbo:
slider, i have tried to maintain a respectful attitude towards you, but if i have insulted you, i apologize.  we're all learning here - if you read back a little ways, i was schooled in this same thread.


 No I wasn't insulted just wanted to point out that I am not stuck to my ideas just trying to get a better understanding. Personally I try not to get attached to any belief and try to question my assumptions all the time.

meambobbo:
that said, please avoid long responses.  people simply won't read them, and it will lead to general confusion.  where possible, post about a single idea.  i know how easy it is to end up turning a simple post into a huge essay when discussing this stuff.  resist!

ok, let's discuss some more...

a) federal reserve banks create money by monetizing debt, typically gov't securities.  commercial banks create money by lending out deposits up to their reserve limit.  in both cases, banks do not simply buy anything of real value with new money.  in the case of the gov't securities' interest earned, the federal reserve banks are required to pay most to all of these earnings to the government.


 To me this makes sense but if the government which is supposed to be a representation of the people get the benefit of the interest being refunded minus costs of operations from the fed why don't the actual people get the same benefit from the banks? They could take operating costs plus a comfortable profit margin and refund the rest. If this seems fair for the representation of the people and the fed why is it not fair for the actual people and the banks? I know they are private businesses and need to make a profit so the monetary sytem should either be opened to competition allowing different types of money or become a government run institution so that the interest could be used for infrastructure, grants, investment in renewable energy etc easing up the amount collected through taxes. I have no problem with the idea of interest just with the imbalance it creates and what seems to me to be a bad value an alternative surely could be created that would fulfill the same functions and cost alot less. If competition was allowed at least we would find out. Enforced monopolies are a death knell for healthy capitilism.


meambobbo:
When banks debase the value of money to issue new loans, they also debase the return value of outstanding loans.  Bankers advocated sound money, in opposition to the farmers who wanted paper money, when the issue was discussed during the creation of the constitution.  Depending upon the conditions, banks may seek to contract artificial credit.

Your argument has consistently held that the inability to otherwise pay debts with interest has fueled money supply expansion.  Well, look at what happens in a bust.  Credit contracts, and yes, many people can't pay their debts.  Yet, allowing credit to contract and bad debts to be liquidated quickly remedies the problem and gets the economy back on track.  Further expanding the money supply is not a remedy.  Look at Japan in the 90's.  Also, expanding the money supply did not prevent the Great Depression, nor did it alleviate it.

Often, this problem is misunderstood.  People want the booms that artificial credit spurs, but deny that busts must follow.  They have invented a number of magical means to do this, such as suspending bank note redemption in specie, central banking, and fiat currency.  All fail.  A better solution is to avoid the problem altogether.  To do this, simply get the government out of banking and money, or outlaw fractional reserve banking.  The market polices against fractional reserve banking fairly well.  Over-leveraged banks can be brought to bankruptcy on the whim of competitors or a wave of market fear.  It is only when government protects or institutionalizes FRB that we can see economy-wide booms and busts.  The best example of this is the roaring 20's and the Great Depression.


The fact that the bankers advocated it seems worrisome. Boom and bust cycles result from either too much money or too little money being available for the amount of goods available. Too much money results in inefficient use of manpower as does to little money. When there is too much money people start paying to have things done that are unecessary and do not much make sense as far as efficency goes and also prices begin to go up with the average wage generally trailing. Too little money leaves the workforce unemployed and not producing even though the potential for production has not decreased at all and barring a necessity shortage (food energy) prices generally go down. Both of them are harmful and both serve to correct the imbalances that the other serves to perpetuate. A more eficient system is to have an equal amount of money to reflect the amount of goods available or tools that can gradually fix the imbalances as they occur without having to have them play out to there necessary end of booms and busts. The only way to find that system is most likely monetary experimentation in a competetive market.



meambobbo:
Without government intervention in money, the market most likely picks a form of money whose supply cannot be easily manipulated by any central source.  If banks want to issue notes that are claims to that money, that's fine.  as before, the ones who choose to issue unbacked notes are the most likely to fail, barring gov't intervention.  While most people here advocate gold or silver, they most likely believe that individuals and private institutions should be free to choose what they define and accept as money.  Perhaps the market favors a different form of money?  We can't know for sure until true monetary competition is allowed.  Legal tender laws, mint prohibitions, currency prohibitions, sales and capital gains taxes all prevent this.


 I have never thought of the idea of completely deregulating money and allowing competition to sort out what works best but if that is the idea for every other area of commerce I see no reason why it would not be the case for one of the most important. We leave food to be sorted out by a free market even though without it people would starve there is no way money is any more important. Agriculture does have some safeguards but there seems to be a big push to get rid of them money is no different. Of course gold will most likely fill the vacuum and I agree that would be better than the current system.


meambobbo:
b) i don't think our banking and monetary system is worth very much, considering I believe it is almost due for a complete collapse.  that being said, I think being able to conduct non-local transactions and safekeep larger amounts of money that retain its value is a valuable service to society.  true banking seems to be more than simply balancing accounts - it is also a means of depository investing (for time, not demand deposits) and money warehousing.


 I agree they provide valuable services but it seems like a bad value and that most of the usefull services they provide could be accomplished for alot less than they charge. Without real money competition which is unlikely without a partial or full collapse of the current system we will probably never know. Even with partial collapses it seems the answer that government representatives come up with are becoming more and more socialist which definitely seems like a mistake that will only make the final situation worse.

meambobbo:
As far as socialism and technology, let's consider a situation.  A new robotic factory design requires no humans to work in it, and it produces any good imaginable faster than older factories, using less raw materials and energy (even copies of itself).  Industry leaders invest in these factories, they replace the old ones, and many millions of factory workers are laid off.  Well, the laws of supply and demand still apply.  If most people are hopelessly unemployed, how do they afford the goods the factory produces?  If goods are still priced according to their old prices (which you might consider their "true value"), we produce FAR more goods than there are buyers and we have a surplus - billions of goods sitting in warehouses unable to be sold.  If we follow supply and demand to price, we find the price of anything is pushed to barely anything, as there is very little demand (as expressed in a supply of something else).  The capitalists who own the factories don't need to trade with the unemployed laborers.  They can get their factories to meet their material demands.  Thus, the market has a huge shift.  Human labor isn't required anymore, as a cheaper form of labor is abundant.  Yet human intelligence is still scarce.  Scientific research is scarce.  The capitalists would best serve themselves by creating capital for the laborers to use to develop their intelligent skills.  Intelligence will allow more efficient factories, sources of energy, etc.  Furthermore, there would be a huge art and entertainment industry, as factories can't write well-respected scripts, songs, or paintings.

If technology changes the economy in a manner that makes most everyone unfit to work, this same technology allows charitable efforts to effectively serve that many more people.  Why don't the now unemployed laborers seek to build their own super factory?  What if a charity got its hands on one?  It could simply make copies of it for every town, or even every individual.  The socialist doctrine relies on the argument that capital owners are competitive, greedy elitists who are most inclined to deprive others of possessions.  Yet capitalism's entire mantra is based on competing to most efficiently create that which society most desires.  If technology produces a situation where physical labor is of little value, then laborers must focus on intelligent labor, which should retain high value.  In fact, technology should vastly increase the value of all labor, as it can now be traded for far more real goods.  For example, if your neighbor is an intelligent laborer, he could easily afford 8 cars.  If you weed his garden, you can be paid with an automobile.  Your actual pay rate has increased.


 I do not know if what I was saying could be interpreted as socialism or not. Automation is something that will probably not a big problem untill  far in the future but it is still something worth thinking about maybe not for this generation but for a few generations into the future. It is hard to say what the best results would be but if it only serves to widen the gulf between rich and poor while creating many more of the latter it would help no one. The factory owners would have no one to sell to and the poor no mony to buy anything. If as you said labor becomes worth more it still might not matter as there would be a weeding machine to weed the lawn any basic labor would be obsolete. I do believe that the factory owners would realize the situation would not work and some system would be needed to be worked out but what that might entail is hard to know. It is worth thinking about though.

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meambobbo:


Slider, check this out:

http://hiwaay.net/~becraft/FRS-myth.htm#hd25

also, read the section following that one.

Keep in mind, I disagree with the author on other points, so feel free to respond to his argument.




 I read the article and if he is right and if the interest is spent into the economy then it would not be a big issue. I understand that the government does not pay interest to the fed but  the private banks do keep the interest from their loans. In his argument he only mentions that the fed interest is "spent" or rebated back to the government but completely neglects whether the same is true for private banks.


 The fact that he says:"If the interest earnings were simply put away into a vault until they were lent out again, the authors would be correct." but then goes on to explain why they are wrong irespective of whether interest is spent/lent into the economy or not makes me think he is confused.

 On the one hand he says they are right but the money is "spent" into the economy then he continues on to show why they are wrong. Since he already says he agrees with this position it makes the rest of his arguments very strange.


 The other problem is the fact that the banks are getting large sums of money, which they can exchange for work, in trade for something that is basically made from thin air. Even though the Credit River case is said to be overturned (the owner lived in the house for a few more decades though) it is a very good example of the banks "Failure of Consideration" (meaning they are not really risking anything) and the problem with our current system. The only reason such cases are not common is that it would mean a collapse of the entire economy which is seen as much to big to allow to fail.

In the article he says:

"Nor is there any reason why there must be enough money outstanding to pay off all outstanding debt."

 He is right but if there is not enough money to pay off the loans as they become due then someone will have to default on their loan not becaause of a bad decision but because it is impossible for all the loans to be paid off. He also seems to be integrating non-bank debt when the problem revolves around bank debt.

He also says:

Their major shortcoming is that the effect of interest costs on the price of individual goods cannot be aggregated into an increase in the general price level.

 But if all goods originally need money to be created then they will all incorporate interest in the cost. Most of this money comes from houses and since the cost of houses rise the labourers who work on it rquire more money to buy houses so their wage goes up. No one is going to work for someone for a $1 hr and in that hr create a good worth a $1000 they will see they are being exploited and demand higher wages or create the product on their own. So through labor the cost does become aggregated.


 He also says that if interest caused inflation then decreasing interest would cause prices to fall but the interest was already incorporated into the cost of the good in the past a decreased interest rate in the present will not reverse that only cause less inflation in the present. He says inflation is continually rising prices but interest does not continually rise (ex. %5 one year %6 the next etc) but the interest is incorporated in the price then has interest charged on it again. Say everyone buys a house for $1000 with %5 interest.after a period of time they own houses they paid $1050 for so the general market consensus is houses are worth  $1050. Then they all sell their houses and the new buyers get loans for %5 interest and with that %5 interest they have all paid 1102.50 the new consensus is they are worth $1102.50. Interest does not have to rise for prices to continually rise. If %3 loans were given out for those houses it would only slow inflation not reverse it.


 If the banks really do spend all the interest back into the economy then interest should not be a big problem but it would still unjustly enrich the people who acquire the interest since they are basically making alot money from something that is created very easily in relation to how much they get paid for it.

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simik replied on Fri, Aug 22 2008 2:47 PM

slider123456:
if a bank lends 5 people call them A-E a $1000 at %5 interest they owe $5250 if the $250 interest gets lent to someone else F and the first 5 A-E earn it from F he (F) owes $262.50 still. The bank lends $262.50 to someone else G and F earns it from G then he G owes $275.62. This will go on forever increasing forever until someone defaults. If the bank spent the $250 into the economy after the 1st loan there would be less of a problem but in our economy I do not think the banks spend all of the interest into the economy that would be alot of money especially when mortgages are considered.

You seem to mix money with wealth.

If A-E guys use the loan to produce goods worth more than $1050, then I see no problem with paying back the loan, they'll just pay part of the loan in cash and part in goods. In the end the bank is left with its money and some goods, and A-E are left with some goods and no money, which is still more than what they all started with. A win-win situation as I see it.

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meambobbo replied on Fri, Aug 22 2008 3:02 PM

Exactly...

Also, the bank does not wait until it receives the returned principle plus interest before it spends money into the economy.  For it to even be able to operate at all, it must hire employees, who are paid wages, who use that money to purchase goods in the economy.  If all bank returns were re-lent out, this would literally mean that every member of the bank, from the mail guy to the ceo to the owners, would be working for free.

Also, look at the late 70's - interest rates were raised to incredibly high levels, yet the early 80's showed sharply diminishing price inflation.  If you compare long-term moving averages of interest rates, price inflation, and money supply, you will see the correlation between money supply and price inflation, but not price inflation and interest rates.  Of course, the rate is only half the picture - what % of the money supply is owed in bank debts?

Any phrases like "too much money chasing too few goods" are logical fallacies, because it assumes that money and goods have a fixed value, independent of their supply and demand.  If there is simply a great supply of monetary units used to purchase a small amount of goods, this simply means the number of monetary units required to trade for a good will be high.  The value of money is reflected by what it can secure in trade, not what its face value says.

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simik:


slider123456:
if a bank lends 5 people call them A-E a $1000 at %5 interest they owe $5250 if the $250 interest gets lent to someone else F and the first 5 A-E earn it from F he (F) owes $262.50 still. The bank lends $262.50 to someone else G and F earns it from G then he G owes $275.62. This will go on forever increasing forever until someone defaults. If the bank spent the $250 into the economy after the 1st loan there would be less of a problem but in our economy I do not think the banks spend all of the interest into the economy that would be alot of money especially when mortgages are considered.


You seem to mix money with wealth.

If A-E guys use the loan to produce goods worth more than $1050, then I see no problem with paying back the loan, they'll just pay part of the loan in cash and part in goods. In the end the bank is left with its money and some goods, and A-E are left with some goods and no money, which is still more than what they all started with. A win-win situation as I see it.



 If the banks accept goods in payment yes that is the case. That means they are buying goods in other words and is the only way I can see interest balancing out. Whether or not they really do spend all the interest I do not know but they are still trading goods for something they make from thin air though so that seems like a rip off.

meambobbo:


Exactly...

Also, the bank does not wait until it receives the returned principle plus interest before it spends money into the economy.  For it to even be able to operate at all, it must hire employees, who are paid wages, who use that money to purchase goods in the economy.  If all bank returns were re-lent out, this would literally mean that every member of the bank, from the mail guy to the ceo to the owners, would be working for free.

Also, look at the late 70's - interest rates were raised to incredibly high levels, yet the early 80's showed sharply diminishing price inflation.  If you compare long-term moving averages of interest rates, price inflation, and money supply, you will see the correlation between money supply and price inflation, but not price inflation and interest rates.  Of course, the rate is only half the picture - what % of the money supply is owed in bank debts?

Any phrases like "too much money chasing too few goods" are logical fallacies, because it assumes that money and goods have a fixed value, independent of their supply and demand.  If there is simply a great supply of monetary units used to purchase a small amount of goods, this simply means the number of monetary units required to trade for a good will be high.  The value of money is reflected by what it can secure in trade, not what its face value says.



 The only thing I wonder about is whether they do spend all the profits into the economy maybe they do but I doubt it.

I see another reason for the inflation of the late 70's namely that alot of people were dumping dollars in exchange for commodities with rising prices. Then there was a higher supply of dollars and less of a demand in a short period of time the only way to correct this is to raise interest rates and create a demand for dollars.


 I agree there is no set price but I believe that there are more or less static average prices between goods on a relative basis. The amount of money is less important than the relative price between different goods different labor etc. As long as a lawyer still earned double the electrician and could buy the same house in 10 yrs the specific dollar amount would not matter. If there was a million dollars in existence prices could still work out the electrician might make 1 cent an hr but an average house would only cost a $100 and a lawyer on average might get 2 cents an hr. It would still be worked out by the market. If the money supply was stable it would only need to be worked out less often.

 

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First, to determine whether fractional reserve banking is unlawful or not, we must determine what is lawful and what isn't.  Unless someone says otherwise, let's suppose that injustice is a violation of someone's person, property, or liberties.  So if someone stole my property, that would be a violation of my property and thus injustice and what we institute govt for is to punish injustice in society, that is to establish justice. 
If I ask someone to house my money and that I might come and take it back at any time, then if he were to loan it out, that would be a violation of my property.  It did not become his/her property by my merely asking them to house it.  If they couldn't loan it out before I asked them to house it, then they cannot loan it out after.  You can only loan out that which belongs to you or on behalf of someone with their consent.  The natural market would determine an assessment fee for housing the money and you or I would be charged such.
Now, if I asked them to loan it on behalf of me, and pay me such and such interest, with the understanding that I would not receive it back until the borrower paid in full, that is a different scenario altogether.  CDs act in such a way.  Here are the sets of arguments people bring up against this out of not thinking it through and a set of responses:


1) "But that would be stupid to have to pay to house your money somewhere."

You already do pay to house your money through inflation and taxes.  You pay excessively more with the current system.

 

2) "But what if the person they loan my money to doesn't pay it off?"

There would be true free market insurances that would develop to counteract this.  Sharing risk was developed in the free market in China back in 2000 B.C.(first recorded event of shared risk).  Also, would you loan to a bank that made risky loans?  Would that bank stay in business long?  No, they would find the most safe people to loan to, much safer then you could ever find.

 

3)"Interest rates would be much higher under such a system.  Would that be desirable?"

Of course they would be higher.  This limits where money would get invested into.  Society would be far more productive and less consumptive.  People would not be funding every whim they desire on credit.  Instead there would be incentive to save cash and pay in cash.  This would accelerate a truly higher standard of living for all.  As more production is financed or paid in cash, prices decrease on products and become more affordable to the masses.

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What I see is that the game was never intended for them to make money but to extract capital.  The set up is all about capital extraction from our country and every country they set up a central bank in.  Their "Federal Reserve Notes" are worthless to them and only tools in the process of gaining control of all property and capital producers.  They could print as many as they wish since they hold the international trademarks on them.  Just look around you.  How many of the buildings, the land, the businesses, the homes, cars, etc. are all used in collateral for loans which are then used as collateral (eventually) for bonds to be sold from banks to the federal reserve for more Federal Reserve Notes?  The truth is, as the game continues, the amount of property and capital producers is ever increasingly in the ownership of the Federal Reserve.  Some would say, "well, the government owns a lot too".  But that's not true either because the government uses those things it owns as collateral for getting more Federal Reserve Notes. 

One of the most intriguing pieces of collateral are birth certificates.  I don't have all the details, but from what I understand birth certificates are taken to the Dept. of Commerce which then assesses the income a person is projected to make in their lifetime and then is used as collateral for more loans(based on the future taxes they will pay).  This happens in every country. 

Also, when something like this "banking crisis" like what recently happened takes place, the reality is that the process of capital extraction has either slowed or reversed and so the deck must be rearranged to continue "business as usual".  The large players, such as AIG, would be too much of a set back to let go, and they can appeal to "the bigger picture" and play on the fears of Americans enough to subdue us into not caring that they are stealing our purchasing power to grant more capital to keep AIG in the game of extracting capital for them.  Diversification of a centralized conglomerate is not in the plan.  That's also why you don't see them bailing out smaller institutions.  The more centralized the banking industry gets, the higher level of capital extraction that can take place.  So buyouts are good, mergers are good, small banks going out of business is good, but letting a big one fail, you better believe those same slow officials can work pretty darn fast when it comes to getting this rescue underway. 

However, the free market will tend toward diversification and more even wealth distribution.  This was what was occurring prior to 1910 that caused the "Trust" to meet together and plan out our Federal Reserve.  The U.S. was paying off it's debt, smaller banks were popping up everywhere and many were in the business of loaning real money instead of fractional reserve banking.  This was eating away at the gains the "Trust" made from certain legislation passed in the 1870s that gave them the upper hand. 

The game plan was formed in 1910 but in reality it has blossomed quite well for them over the last century.  It is certainly a complex system, and intensifies in complexity every time they rearrange the deck, but if you see it in terms of capital extraction, it kind of unwinds a bit and makes a lot more sense.  All of those who are set up to make the most profit are those who extract the most capital for them.  And that's Wall Street in a wrap. 

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It is true, as you say, that fractional reserve banking is a free market invention.   Fraud is a also a free market invention and, you could say, a natural thing that will go away only if we make it illegal.   In fact, the only reason fractional reserve banking is not illegal, is that it serves the interest of heavily indebted modern governments that need the bankers to buy debt instruments used to finance their ill advised social programs and wars.  

In ancient Greece, Babylon and later, Rome, when gold was deposited with the priest at the local temple, it wasn't considered a loan.  It was considered a deposit for safekeeping -- like a car in a garage.  The expectation was that the car would be returned, not that it would be loaned out to a total stranger in return for a bribe, so that the owner wound up assuming the risk some idiot he didn't even know would get drunk and run it into a ditch.  It was only later, when the mediaeval gold dealers realized they could issue receipts for precious metal they didn't own, that the deposit relationship came to be transformed into a "loan".  And why, pray tell, was this magical transformation countenanced by the princes and potentates who ran things in those days?  Well, it wasn't to assist the rise of the bourgeoisie by improving the performance of the markets, I can tell you that much.  It was because the princes and potentates had run out of gold, and they needed another way to finance their pointless wars. 

Government can be good or bad.  Natural impulse can be good or bad.  The market can be good or bad.  Learn your history.  Get the facts. 

To me, the most amazing thing is that people are so blinded by dogma they can't even see what's going on. 

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