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On Negative Real Interest Rates, Taylor Rule.

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MatthewWilliam posted on Fri, Mar 20 2009 11:26 PM

I read a WSJ  article by a guy named John Taylor. He puts the blame for the current crisis on the Fed for keeping interest rates too low during 2003-2005. But now he advocates that the Fed should shoot for negative interest rates (-6%).

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What would happen if such a policy were adopted? Are there problems with the Taylor rule?

 

Austrians do it a priori

Irish Liberty Forum 

 

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the article you linked to doesnt have him advocate anything, and does not include the graph you posted

Where there is no property there is no justice; a proposition as certain as any demonstration in Euclid

Fools! not to see that what they madly desire would be a calamity to them as no hands but their own could bring

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The Taylor rule is pure Keynesian and monetarist humbug. It proposes that the central bank have a target for economic growth and inflation. When inflation is above the target, along with employment and economic growth, the central bank should raise interest rates. When inflation, employment, and economic growth are below the target, the central bank should ease monetary policy. It's basically monetary Keynesianism; it simply deals with aggregate demand and aggregate supply. The Taylor rule is better than Greenspan-esque monetary policy, but still far from perfect. It still can throw us into a stagflationary situation, which is impossible according to the Taylor rule.

 

Here is Taylor speaking about the Taylor rule.

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