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How should I respond?

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Lee posted on Wed, Sep 1 2010 6:20 PM

In another forum I frequent there was a thread created by a gentleman who is highly in favor of protectionism. Now in this forum (like all forums) the same topics come up from time to time with the same people going back and forth about who is right and who is wrong. For the most part the individuals who argue in favor of protectionism in these threads make the same economic arguments which are pretty easy to debunk but there is one individual who I've had a hard to time responding to because he seems to take a different approach based on history. Since I'm not that well versed in history I was hoping maybe some of you guys that are could help me out a little bit. To enable you guys to help me out I will just post what my response was to the OP and his (the guy im having a hard time responding to) reponse to me. Any help is greatly appreciated so thanks in advance.

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ME: And both theory and history have proven that it does lower competition and start trade wars between nations. The irony in all this is that you support protectionism because you hate big business and you want to keep jobs in American yet the first people in favor of protectionism are those big businesses who are in the export trade. Your not killing big business and encouraging "fairness" when you tax big businesses to death. All you are achieving by taxing to death those companies in the import trade is diverting resources and granting special privileges to inefficient companies in the export trade which not only hurts small businesses in America but most of all it hurts American consumers which is all of us. You may be well intentioned but your policies would lead to disaster for any nation implementing them.

HIM: This is simply not true. An intellectual such as yourself must have sifted through history quite desperately seeking some confirmation for your ideals. Provide us with some real examples of states operating free markets as a means for development and growth.
The growth and development of modern states has been centered in government protection of industry which spurs industrialization. It happened with the Asian tiger export economies, it's happening with China now and it is what happened with the USA and Germany pre-WW1. The history of development lays in protectionist policies, though not so severe as to create "trade wars".

China would not place huge trade barriers on the high end products they receive from the USA or Europe simply because the West began to level the playing field which would cause marginal decreases in their trade surplus. Plus it's in our power to do, unlike making the Chinese allow their currency to adjust to market determined values as you should advocate.

Now I understand that protection is the story of historic development does not necessarily lead to it being the solution to creating jobs in the post-developed world. It just seems like a required path because service jobs are stretched thin and can only supplement production jobs. What I mean is, the US can only instate so many service jobs without expanding the employed in the labor field through industry. Given the lack of rising employment it seems we are at that peak.

The thing is, many conservatives and libertarians on this board suggest deflating government as the be all solution to recovery. However this will not create jobs, specifically in the short term. Sure cutting the deficit is one important part of the solution, but raising revenue is the other part. Over taxation is a problem you all point out which is valid but a certain amount of revenue even with trimmed expenses is necessary to avoid government collapse at the anarchy that would ensue. Meaning some level of taxation near its current level is needed. So the only other step to raising revenue which helps cut the deficit and helps pay back debt over time to manageble levels of interest, is to help create jobs. Protecting and spurring domestic industry is the solution. It may harm importers and cause slightly higher consumer prices but it can create far more jobs then any other option and these jobs will increase government revenue without raising taxes until boom times.

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hmm I'm quite busy and tired at the moment but if no one helps you PM me.

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Again this insistence that the number of people employeed is an indication of wealth when the exact opposite is true.  If we could supply all of our wants without working then why bother working?  But our wants can not be universally satisifed so entrepeneurs go forth and try to satisfy these wants for a price.  If those people are digging ditches and filling them up then no wealth gets created.  That is a fact.  This is Keynesian crap that superpowered government bureaucrats understand which products are allowed to be supplied by foreigners and which are not.  The only way to increase the percentage of people employeed in the long run

My view is that the Great Depression got really bad when that clown Hoover passed the Smoot Hawley Tariff thus shutting down the entire trading system in the world.  And guess what, employment did not recover to its pre-1929 levels.  The superhero Roosevelt could have gotten rid if this in time to save years of economic destitution and failed and instead passed government provided employment.

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The growth and development of modern states has been centered in government protection of industry which spurs industrialization. It happened with the Asian tiger export economies, it's happening with China now and it is what happened with the USA and Germany pre-WW1. The history of development lays in protectionist policies, though not so severe as to create "trade wars".
So this is just ex post facto reasoning. They could have recovered in spite of tarrifs rather than because of them. History can always be used to validate any viewpoint... you have to use sound economic theory. Lets go!

China would not place huge trade barriers on the high end products they receive from the USA or Europe simply because the West began to level the playing field which would cause marginal decreases in their trade surplus. Plus it's in our power to do, unlike making the Chinese allow their currency to adjust to market determined values as you should advocate.
China is not a good example... actually his grammar and meaning are really unclear here. I wasn't aware of any china-->US tariffs, and a quick googol didn't turn up anything significant.

So China's primary growth comes from special economic zones. Places with very low regulations and low taxes... You might be able to use this as an example of modern free markets.

Now I understand that protection is the story of historic development does not necessarily lead to it being the solution to creating jobs in the post-developed world. It just seems like a required path because service jobs are stretched thin and can only supplement production jobs. What I mean is, the US can only instate so many service jobs without expanding the employed in the labor field through industry. Given the lack of rising employment it seems we are at that peak.
So he's hypothesizing that there's some critical ratio between the service and manufacturing industries because the service industry can only supplement production jobs. That's utter crap. You can triple the number of psychotherapists, masseusses or financial analysts and not need really much more industrial production.

But lets pick an example that does fit this worldview. Say doctors. They need lots of medical equipment. Your friend would think "OH before we can increase the number of doctors, we have to build more medical industry to produce the stuff they'll need!" Actually, this is backwards. An increase in the number of doctors causes them to bid up prices for medical supplies. In reaction (or anticipation), the medical industry will simply expand to meet this new demand. Its like your friend doesn't know how the price system works. 

The thing is, many conservatives and libertarians on this board suggest deflating government as the be all solution to recovery. However this will not create jobs, specifically in the short term
Why not? If the price of oil went up to $180/bbl, do you think the industry would hire more? What if every commodity increased in value by 30-40%? The price sends a signal to expand industry. This is the exact effect that getting rid of the federal government would have.

Sure cutting the deficit is one important part of the solution, but raising revenue is the other part.
Ask him to prove why the government should have money before the private sector. Destroy him with incentives.

Over taxation is a problem you all point out which is valid but a certain amount of revenue even with trimmed expenses is necessary to avoid government collapse at the anarchy that would ensue.
Well, if I were having the argument I would be all like "feck yeah anarchy", but you should probably just support a tax rate of ~10% for this conversation, with no special industry tariffs or regulations.

Meaning some level of taxation near its current level is needed.
Nooo... just because you need some taxes doesn't mean you need 40% taxes :) I'm sure he can see how if we got rid of stupid federal programs how we could reduce the 40% to 5-10%.

So the only other step to raising revenue which helps cut the deficit and helps pay back debt over time to manageble levels of interest, is to help create jobs
You mean like, economic jobs right? Not digging holes in the ground. Right so you would need a price system to tell you which jobs were profitable to do and which weren't... in other words, government can only help by getting out of the way since it doesn't deal in prices.

Protecting and spurring domestic industry is the solution.
This is the first time he's mentioned tariffs really... Okay. I don't think we should protect our steel industry if someone else can do it better. There's no point duplicating their efforts. It makes American steel rich but every other American poorer. The whole point of division of labor is so you can do something that hasn't been done before and then trade it for the stuff that is already being done...

but it can create far more jobs then any other option
These are economically worthless jobs, just like digging holes in the ground. Pass.

and these jobs will increase government revenue without raising taxes until boom times.
Actually, a tariff is kind of like a tax. And EVEN IF you think these tariffs can break even economically, the opportunity cost is too high. There's all this other non-duplicative, competitive stuff you could have done in the meantime. Your friend basically just doesn't understand the price system.

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