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Re: Jim Rogers: North Korea will merge with South Korea within 5 years

Kakugo — Sat, 25 Aug 2012 09:14:30 GMT

Daniel Muffinburg:

What if North Korea becomes China's China?

As we all know it, North Korea would literally starve to death without China. China supplies foodstuff, fuel, spare parts etc at symbolic prices or in exchange for raw materials. North Korea has long been seen as a buffer State of sorts by China, not to mention as an old ally in the spreading of the Chinese brand of Socialism.

However a growing faction in the Chinese Communist Party (mostly belonging to the "progressive" or "Deng Xiaoping" wing) has started to see North Korea in her present form as more of a liability than an asset. While paying lip service to Mao's ideals, they are deeply pragmatic and understood long ago Maoism and its derivates (like Kim Il-Sung's Juche system) belong to the trash can of history. They also understand an impoverished country with a vast but unwieldy and decrepit military is a poor counterweight to South Korea, a key US ally which has a very strong economy and a modern, efficient military. For North Korea to become an effective counterweight toUS power in the area, she would need to "open up to the world", like China did under Deng Xiaoping. China has the means to peacefully force this change and has better knowledge than anybody else about the mysterious working of North Korean nomeklatura.

This faction is currently engaged in a mostly unreported clash with the Maoist wing of the CCP, a clash that will probably become apparent to everyone at the Party congress this Fall. While most analysts believe the Maoists will see their power eroded and will probably be quietly and slowly "epurated", they aren't going out without a fight.

The Chinese Maoists are North Korea's only allies at the moment. While it's obvious China won't abandon North Korea all of a sudden, they are the only ones still strongly supporting Pyongyang in its present form.

Re: Jim Rogers: North Korea will merge with South Korea within 5 years

Aristophanes — Fri, 24 Aug 2012 23:04:32 GMT

tried pirating that game. it kept crashing. will pirate again.

I shared it too.

Sharing is about the extent of the game's worth. The devs compared it to Half-Life 2 during the hype phase, but it was nothing like HL2. The story is kind of cool and there are memorable scenes in it, but don't expect a good game.

Re: Jim Rogers: North Korea will merge with South Korea within 5 years

DanielMuff — Fri, 24 Aug 2012 22:45:23 GMT

What if North Korea becomes China's China?

Re: Jim Rogers: North Korea will merge with South Korea within 5 years

Kakugo — Fri, 24 Aug 2012 22:44:01 GMT

Jim Rogers is very wont on going on "completely off the wall" statements which seem more designed to attract attention than anything else. I wouldn't put much trust in this one as well. Much of what will happen in Korea depends on the Chinese Communist Party general assembly which is going to be held in October. Until then Rogers' speculation is as good as anybody else's.

Re: Jim Rogers: North Korea will merge with South Korea within 5 years

Kelvin Silva — Fri, 24 Aug 2012 22:37:08 GMT

tried pirating that game. it kept crashing. will pirate again.

Re: Jim Rogers: North Korea will merge with South Korea within 5 years

Aristophanes — Fri, 24 Aug 2012 22:33:47 GMT

He must have seen this...

(Please visit the site to view this media)

Re: Jim Rogers: North Korea will merge with South Korea within 5 years

Malachi — Fri, 24 Aug 2012 22:23:57 GMT

Thats pretty speculative. I would love to hear his reasoning

Jim Rogers: North Korea will merge with South Korea within 5 years

DanielMuff — Fri, 24 Aug 2012 22:22:22 GMT

Did I miss something in the news? Or does Jim Rogers have deep, insider connections who are telling him this?

Source: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aH0cehutKIY&feature=player_detailpage#t=230s