Economics Questions

Re: Fractal Economics

Consumariat — Mon, 05 Mar 2012 04:11:30 GMT

You didn't answer Tans' question. What happened to your prediction about April 26?

Re: Fractal Economics

the fractalist — Mon, 05 Mar 2012 02:45:15 GMT

It is only serious if it is proven to represent the reality of the money-debt-asset system.

This is the unexpected nonlinearity the 2005 Main Page of the Economic Fractallist was referring to and the ideal pathway in the last paragraph....

Equity Collapse: Lammert Fractal Series Perfection: The 2 March 2012 X/2.5x/2x :: 12/30/24 Day Final Wilshire High [Edit or Delete]0 comments

Mar 4, 2012 8:15 PM

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Saturation Macroeconomics: Unquestionably a Patterned Science.

Friday 2 March 2012: The Wilshire's Perfect Lammert x/2.5x/2x ::12/30/24 Day Final Growth Conclusion

The operating terminal Wilshire 2009 fractal series is a 24/60/48/33 of 36-39 week fractal that concludes a 1982 9/23 year and a 1789 70/154 year synchronized first and second fractal series.

The nonlinearity of asset devolution will be breathtaking ...an albino black swan....

A y/2.5y/2.5y decay fractal of 16(17)/40/40 days has a base fractal of 3/8/8 of 16(17) days which includes the 48 week 3rd fractal and is configured also in a y/2.5y/2.5y :: 3/8/8 daydecay pattern.

The last two days of the third 40 day decay fractal take an upward valuation.

The new base fractal of 12 days begins on 29 November 2011 and ends on 14 December 2011 and is formed by the last 2/3's of a 3/8/5 day fractal.

The fractal math is interesting because a 16/40/32/23 day 4 phase fractal x/2.5x/2x/1.5x matches and shares interpolation with a 16/40/40 day :: y/2.5y/2.5y decay fractal with the 16/40/32/23 day 4 phase Lammert series' final secondary low on 19 December 2011, 3 trading days after the 12 day base fractal.

The final fractal growth series is a 12/31/24 day fractal ending on 2 March.

2 of the 31 days of the second fractal are 1/2 trading days resulting in a perfect 12/30/24 day :: x/2.5x/2x growthfractal.

Will the low including the 1982 9/23 year x/2.5x historical second fractal nonlinearity be in 18-20 trading days for a final four phase perfect Lammert fractal series of:
12/30/24/18-20 days :: x/2.5x/2x/1.5-1.6x?

Time will tell.

Re: Fractal Economics

TANSTAAFL — Thu, 16 Feb 2012 14:19:38 GMT

dear fractalist,

What about that collapse thingy you predicted for april 26, 2011?

The first time I heard of fractals I was reading this book an the collapse written by some British guy. The conclusion of the auithor was the economy is some kind of machine that needed a proper "governor" and everything would be fine. He turned me on to Mendelbrot.

Mendelbrot wrote a book Fractals and Scaling in Finance. He realized that he could model the volatility of a price chart with fractals. There is an empirical relation in prices and fractals. This makes sense because prices are the result of the natural phenomona of human action. Prices are organic in nature.

So what if you can see patterns in prices? If you have this great predictive power you should be able to become fabulously wealthy in short order. What you fail to see is that the patterns observed only represent the past and are contingent on ceterus paribus. Why use a month for your period? Does your same magic ratio hold true for different periods?

It is possible to beat the market. It can be beaten by astrology. But eventually some change will cause the stars to not align with your expectations. Then, like LTCM, you lose it all infinitely faster than you made it.

Good Luck!

Re: Fractal Economics

the fractalist — Wed, 15 Feb 2012 01:01:27 GMT

More Saturation Macroeconomics: A Debt Dependent Self Organizing System

From 3 to 14 February 2012 ... Has there ever been as tight an asset valuation historical band over an eight day period for the Wilshire?

A saturated apical valuation in a nonlinear system?

This the valuation pattern identified in the 2005 Mainpage of the Economic Fractalist....

x/2.5x.2x/1.5-1.6x

This was the nodal low fractal pattern from March 2009 to October 2011;

5/13/10/7 months... The fractal proportionality... x/2.5x/2x/1.5x

Isn't the empirical pattern obvious?

Yes, this is a real patterned science.

Re: Fractal Economics

Consumariat — Tue, 26 Apr 2011 17:12:06 GMT

Is it time for the world to end yet? It's difficult to tell as my clock is broken

Re: Fractal Economics

Smiling Dave — Tue, 26 Apr 2011 14:02:56 GMT

"The equity and commodity collapse on 26 April 2011 will be the greatest in historical."

Today is the day. The NY stock exchange opens in half an hour.

Run while you still can.

Re: Fractal Economics

Consumariat — Mon, 25 Apr 2011 02:20:55 GMT

And if you doubted the theory before now, just look at this undeniable proof. ITS GOT A STAR IN IT!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Are you convinced? If not you must be bonkers! Anyway, enough wasting my precious time with you feeble earthlings, I'm off to prepare the intergalactic space-gerbil for her maiden voyage.

Re: Fractal Economics

Consumariat — Mon, 25 Apr 2011 02:11:00 GMT

nir, you are going to be so red faced in just three days from now when "The equity and commodity collapse on 26 April 2011 will be the greatest in historical."

How dare you mock the prophecies that have been ordained in the Economic Simulator!!! It is only 22 hours till the alien mothership returns to collect the faithful, and destroys the world in a ball of flaming fractals. And at that point it will be YOU, Mr Dave, who will be the red-faced one.

Re: Fractal Economics

Smiling Dave — Sun, 24 Apr 2011 04:56:33 GMT

Rcder:

Am I really this ignorant of economics? Admittedly I haven't been studying it for terribly long, but I have absolutely no idea what the hell anything in that article means.

I cannot appraise your level of knowledge, but rest assured that article is light years below you.

Re: Fractal Economics

Rcder — Sun, 24 Apr 2011 03:35:02 GMT

Am I really this ignorant of economics? Admittedly I haven't been studying it for terribly long, but I have absolutely no idea what the hell anything in that article means.

Re: Fractal Economics

abskebabs — Sun, 24 Apr 2011 03:17:49 GMT

The Lorenz Attractor is a fractal of Haussdorff dimension between 2 and 3 that is often used to describe the chaotic time evolution of dynamic systems. I must confess it's been a little while since I studied Chaos Theory...

Re: Fractal Economics

Laotzu del Zinn — Sun, 24 Apr 2011 02:47:44 GMT

I agree that they are incredible mathematical objects, and can be represented visually in sacred geometry very well. But they are just abstractions. Has their ever been any hard science dealing with fractals? Not that I am aware of.

Re: Fractal Economics

nirgrahamUK — Sun, 24 Apr 2011 02:21:07 GMT

I may never post again

Re: Fractal Economics

Smiling Dave — Sun, 24 Apr 2011 02:19:23 GMT

nirgrahamUK:

fractals are intriguing mathematical objects. the above post by the fractal dude, is utter gibberish.

nir, you are going to be so red faced in just three days from now when "The equity and commodity collapse on 26 April 2011 will be the greatest in historical."

Re: Fractal Economics

nirgrahamUK — Sun, 24 Apr 2011 02:11:28 GMT

fractals are intriguing mathematical objects. the above post by the fractal dude, is utter gibberish.