https://archive.freecapitalists.org:443/forums/8.aspxDiscussion of political theory.enCommunityServer 2008.5 SP2 (Build: 40407.4157)https://archive.freecapitalists.org:443/forums/thread/12754.aspxMon, 21 Jan 2008 18:43:49 GMT944abf2b-d1be-4bf2-990d-438cb0e377e9:12754Harksaw0https://archive.freecapitalists.org:443/forums/thread/12754.aspxhttps://archive.freecapitalists.org:443/forums/commentrss.aspx?SectionID=8&PostID=12754<p>First, I don&#39;t think Paul is a significant factor in gold prices. People may be cheering for him but IEM still has &quot;Other&quot; (including Paul) trading at 1.3 cents for a $1 payout. http://iemweb.biz.uiowa.edu/quotes/Nomination08_quotes.html His odds are slim, to say the least. </p><p>&nbsp;</p><p>Second, if he <i>was</i> a big factor, wouldn&#39;t a Paul presidency lead to skyrocketing gold prices, as there would be bigger demand for gold as money?<br /></p><div style="clear:both;"></div>https://archive.freecapitalists.org:443/forums/thread/12739.aspxMon, 21 Jan 2008 18:09:42 GMT944abf2b-d1be-4bf2-990d-438cb0e377e9:12739JAlanKatz0https://archive.freecapitalists.org:443/forums/thread/12739.aspxhttps://archive.freecapitalists.org:443/forums/commentrss.aspx?SectionID=8&PostID=12739I have developed the habit of watching gold after every primary, until Super Tuesday anyway. This isn&#39;t hard, since i watch gold every day. I believe that gold will fall on good news for Paul - that is, a better than expected finish, and rise on bad news. After Iowa and New Hampshire, gold went up sharply, confirming my hypothesis. Today, gold is sharply down, reflecting, I think, that smart money is betting that Nevada was more meaningful than South Carolina. I don&#39;t think people are selling on good news for Paul, but I do think that many will hold off on buying when it looks like Ron is doing well. Any thoughts?<div style="clear:both;"></div>