Kaleidic Society

Institutions and the Current Situation

During the current financial crisis and subsequent government actions, the institutions that provide a framework for our society have been significantly altered. The damage to financial institutions, which are internal institutions that allow people to allocate their financial assets and hedge risk, has created a greater degree of uncertainty in the market. Does this mean the government should step in to create a less uncertain business environment? Not necessarily. If the government starts acting erratically, as it has been recently, then the external institutions which are necessary for society will also begin to fail at serving their purpose. If the actions of the government lead to a changing legal order, the level of uncertainty will increase. People will no longer be able to use the institution of, for example, bankruptcy in order to plan their investments. The common points of reference around which we can plan will no longer be useful. Expectations of the future will vary more widely as people attempt to guess how government will act. Expectations of the "practical range" of possible government actions will not converge because of the changing legal order that results from those actions.