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What caused 1997 HongKong realestate collapse?

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Sepero Posted: Sat, Jan 9 2010 6:52 AM

After 1997, the prices of real estate in HongKong dropped near 70%. There was no "credit bubble" in the real estate and none of the big developers went bankrupt.

 

I cannot seem to find much useful information regarding this economic event online.

 

I was just curious to know if anyone had any thoughts or info on why this occurred.

 

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Stranger replied on Sat, Jan 9 2010 11:18 AM

Sepero:

After 1997, the prices of real estate in HongKong dropped near 70%. There was no "credit bubble" in the real estate and none of the big developers went bankrupt.

 

I cannot seem to find much useful information regarding this economic event online.

 

I was just curious to know if anyone had any thoughts or info on why this occurred.

 

Everyone took out their capital before Hong Kong was turned over to China.

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Sepero replied on Tue, Jan 12 2010 3:51 AM

Good call, I'm sure that was a factor.

On the other hand, I think it may not explain the whole picture, because everyone knew in advance that HK was going to get turned over to China.

At this tme, I can only assume that the HK investors anticipated the transfer to China was going to be more lucrative for them than what it actually ended up being.

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Marko replied on Tue, Jan 12 2010 11:11 AM

Ehm, Hong Kong 1997? That was the year of the Asian Financial Crisis. That would have played a role, no?

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krazy kaju replied on Wed, Jan 20 2010 11:55 AM

Marko has it right:

Marko:

Ehm, Hong Kong 1997? That was the year of the Asian Financial Crisis. That would have played a role, no?

The Asian financial crisis could have easily caused the collapse in HK's real estate values.

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Sepero replied on Wed, Jan 20 2010 6:38 PM

Thank you all. This is good information, and I think it makes for a much more complete picture of the situation.

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You may want to look at the crisis enveloping much of Asia at the time, there is some more stuff to read and could lead to Hong Kong as well.

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